Wow, hurricane season doesn't even start until Thursday, and already we've had two named storms. Alberto and Beryl never got above tropical storm strength. Both storms formed in the Atlantic, just off the East Coast of the U.S.
That said, the forecast released in April by Dr. Bill Gray and his protogé Dr. Philip Klotzbach (whose name comes first on the predictions these days) calls for a quiet season. They wrote:
We anticipate that the 2012 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have reduced activity compared with the 1981-2010 climatology. The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past several months, and it appears that the chances of an El Niño event this summer and fall are relatively high. We anticipate a below-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean. However, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them, and they need to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.
You can read the full report online at the Colorado State University website.
Let's hope they're right!